Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs McLeod 49.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 62.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Rodrigues
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
15
(29 meetings)
14
15
Rodrigues
McLeod
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
8
4
Rodrigues
McLeod
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
6
Rodrigues
McLeod
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Rodrigues
McLeod
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
50.4% (3,376)
-4.2%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
50.7% (296)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
44.1% (644)
-1.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McLeod
Home
47.1% (1,836)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Rodrigues
McLeod
P1
46.9%
50.8%
P2
46.1%
48.0%
P3
44.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:06 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |