Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Strome 45.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Rodrigues
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
45.4% (315)
+2.4%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
35.7% (28)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
50.0% (4)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Rodrigues shoots right. Strome is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Strome
Home
47.9% (445)
42.6% (188)
Away
45.4% (346)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Rodrigues
Strome
P1
48.3%
38.6%
P2
47.0%
48.4%
P3
44.8%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |