Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 58.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Rodrigues
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rodrigues
Strome
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Rodrigues
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
3
Rodrigues
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
44.2% (6,887)
+2.0%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
49.2% (855)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
41.5% (410)
+1.2%
On power play, Strome has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Strome
Home
47.1% (1,836)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Rodrigues
Strome
P1
46.9%
43.9%
P2
46.1%
45.4%
P3
44.4%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:04 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |