Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Steel 50.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 56.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Rodrigues
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Steel
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Rodrigues
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
52.5% (200)
-4.7%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
71.4% (7)
-24.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
40.0% (45)
-3.2%
On power play, Steel has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Steel
Home
47.9% (445)
49.5% (109)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Rodrigues
Steel
P1
48.3%
49.5%
P2
47.0%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |