Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 62.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Rodrigues
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rodrigues
Steel
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Rodrigues
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
2
3
Rodrigues
Steel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.4%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
62.6% (179)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
37.4% (254)
+5.3%
On power play, Steel has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Steel
Home
47.1% (1,836)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Rodrigues
Steel
P1
46.9%
51.9%
P2
46.1%
49.5%
P3
44.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 9, 2020 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:14 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:08 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |