Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Aho 54.9% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 76.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 55.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Rodrigues
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
54.5% (870)
-8.9%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
62.4% (266)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
37.1% (62)
+12.9%
On power play, Aho has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Aho
Home
46.5% (142)
53.9% (603)
Away
43.6% (140)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Rodrigues
Aho
P1
42.9%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
55.0%
P3
42.4%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.0%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.3%