Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 72.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Rodrigues
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
57.1% (368)
-9.3%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
55.2% (96)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
50.0% (10)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Rodrigues shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Home
47.9% (445)
53.9% (230)
Away
45.4% (346)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Rodrigues
Stamkos
P1
48.3%
56.7%
P2
47.0%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |