Evan Rodrigues vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Stamkos 51.1% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 63.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 66.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 63.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
5
Rodrigues
Stamkos
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
3
Rodrigues
Stamkos
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
5
Rodrigues
Stamkos
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
50.5% (9,825)
-4.3%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
55.2% (1,729)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
49.6% (827)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,601).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Stamkos
Home
47.1% (1,836)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Rodrigues
Stamkos
P1
46.9%
49.2%
P2
46.1%
52.7%
P3
44.4%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 12, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 05:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |