Evan Rodrigues vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 53.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 51.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 61.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Rodrigues
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
58.5% (135)
-10.7%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
80.0% (5)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
44.4% (18)
-7.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Karlsson
Home
47.9% (445)
63.7% (91)
Away
45.4% (346)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Rodrigues
Karlsson
P1
48.3%
54.4%
P2
47.0%
66.7%
P3
44.8%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |