Who wins more faceoffs, Evan Rodrigues or William Karlsson?

Evan Rodrigues leads the head-to-head 5-4 across 9 faceoffs.

What is Evan Rodrigues's faceoff record against William Karlsson?

Evan Rodrigues is 5-4 against William Karlsson in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-1, Defensive 2-2, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Evan Rodrigues or William Karlsson?

William Karlsson is the predicted winner with a 65.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Evan Rodrigues vs William Karlsson

Evan RodriguesR vs William KarlssonL

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Rodrigues 46.0% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Karlsson 61.7%

Defensive zone Karlsson 69.4%

Neutral zone Karlsson 63.6%

Result William Karlsson favored at 65.3%

34.7%

65.3%

Rodrigues Karlsson

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 4 (9 meetings)

Rodrigues Karlsson

Last 9: Rodrigues 5-4 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Rodrigues

Rodrigues Karlsson

4 total

Defensive Zone

Even

Rodrigues Karlsson

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Karlsson

Rodrigues Karlsson

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Rodrigues

Karlsson

Edge

Even Strength

46.2% (2,897)

51.8% (7,849)

-5.6%

Power Play

44.8% (299)

54.8% (1,048)

-10.0%

Penalty Kill

42.7% (220)

44.2% (1,109)

-1.5%

On power play, Karlsson has a +10.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Karlsson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).

Rodrigues shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).

Home / Away

Rodrigues

Karlsson

Home

47.1% (1,836)

52.0% (5,090)

Away

44.4% (1,580)

50.5% (4,916)

By Period

Rodrigues

Karlsson

46.9%

50.3%

46.1%

51.3%

44.4%

52.4%

50.0%

44.9%

Final 5 min

48.0%

51.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Rodrigues

46.0%▼

49.0%

45.8%

Karlsson

64.0%▲

57.5%

51.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Oct 25, 2025	3	05:12	Offensive	William Karlsson
Oct 22, 2022	3	05:11	Defensive	Evan Rodrigues
Mar 11, 2022	2	01:34	Defensive	Evan Rodrigues
Mar 28, 2017	3	13:32	Offensive	Evan Rodrigues
Mar 28, 2017	3	11:08	Offensive	Evan Rodrigues
Mar 11, 2017	2	08:26	Defensive	William Karlsson
Mar 10, 2017	3	03:00	Neutral	William Karlsson
Mar 10, 2017	3	02:44	Offensive	Evan Rodrigues
Mar 10, 2017	2	02:22	Defensive	William Karlsson

Rodrigues's Profile | Karlsson's Profile