Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Duchene 52.8% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 67.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Malkin
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
46.9% (162)
-2.9%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
73.2% (56)
-43.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
45.5% (202)
58.4% (125)
Away
41.4% (174)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
48.4%
56.9%
P2
41.7%
52.5%
P3
40.4%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.1%