Evgeni Malkin vs Matt Duchene

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Malkin 46.1% vs Duchene 51.8% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone Malkin 52.0%
Defensive zone Duchene 60.3%
Neutral zone Duchene 50.2%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Malkin Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Malkin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
51.1% (366)
-5.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
61.5% (65)
-26.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +26.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Malkin
Duchene
Home
50.4% (113)
51.7% (201)
Away
39.4% (132)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Malkin
Duchene
P1
47.7%
49.0%
P2
44.9%
57.1%
P3
40.0%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%
46.0%
44.5%
Duchene
56.0%
51.0%
52.2%