Evgeni Malkin vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs McCarron 52.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 90.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 67.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Malkin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Malkin
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
McCarron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Malkin
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
52.8% (697)
-7.1%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
18.2% (11)
+16.4%
On power play, Malkin has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Malkin
McCarron
Home
50.4% (113)
52.8% (477)
Away
39.4% (132)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Malkin
McCarron
P1
47.7%
56.2%
P2
44.9%
52.4%
P3
40.0%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |