Evgeni Malkin vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs McCarron 52.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Malkin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Malkin
McCarron
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
4
Malkin
McCarron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.3% (2,926)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
45.3% (86)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
50.1% (469)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Malkin
McCarron
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Malkin
McCarron
P1
45.9%
53.8%
P2
46.2%
52.3%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
49.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |