Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 55.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Malkin
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
49.7% (1,038)
-4.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
63.7% (157)
-29.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
50.4% (113)
53.1% (618)
Away
39.4% (132)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
47.7%
49.3%
P2
44.9%
53.0%
P3
40.0%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%