Evgeni Malkin vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Malkin
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
22
(33 meetings)
11
22
Malkin
MacKinnon
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
4
Malkin
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
7
Malkin
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
11
Malkin
MacKinnon
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
46.1% (11,264)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
53.2% (1,421)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
42.8% (502)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Malkin
MacKinnon
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Malkin
MacKinnon
P1
45.9%
47.4%
P2
46.2%
46.6%
P3
45.2%
46.1%
OT
49.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 10, 2020 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |