Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 79.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Malkin
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
49.7% (292)
-4.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
50.0% (6)
-15.4%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
50.4% (113)
48.7% (193)
Away
39.4% (132)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
47.7%
41.5%
P2
44.9%
57.3%
P3
40.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |