Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 70.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Malkin
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Malkin
Bjugstad
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
3
Malkin
Bjugstad
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
4
6
Malkin
Bjugstad
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
6
10
Malkin
Bjugstad
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
48.6% (6,646)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
55.2% (829)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.3% (614)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Malkin
Bjugstad
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Malkin
Bjugstad
P1
45.9%
48.9%
P2
46.2%
49.1%
P3
45.2%
48.5%
OT
49.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |