Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 50.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Malkin
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Malkin
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
57.5% (412)
-8.5%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
60.0% (65)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
52.3% (438)
58.3% (276)
Away
46.2% (418)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
51.3%
63.7%
P2
50.8%
57.3%
P3
45.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
49.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |