Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 30-23 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 92.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 87.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Malkin
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
23
(53 meetings)
30
23
Malkin
Stastny
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
11
7
Malkin
Stastny
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
8
Malkin
Stastny
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
12
8
Malkin
Stastny
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
54.6% (10,616)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
59.1% (1,994)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
52.9% (1,119)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stastny
Home
47.6% (5,385)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Malkin
Stastny
P1
45.9%
56.3%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
45.2%
53.5%
OT
49.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |