Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs McLeod 49.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 58.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 86.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Malkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Malkin
McLeod
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Malkin
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
7
3
Malkin
McLeod
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
3
Malkin
McLeod
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.4% (3,376)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
50.7% (296)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
44.1% (644)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Malkin
McLeod
Home
47.6% (5,395)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Malkin
McLeod
P1
45.9%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
48.0%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
OT
49.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |