Evgeni Malkin vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 65.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
46.0% (250)
-0.3%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
70.6% (17)
-36.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.4% (113)
50.3% (175)
Away
39.4% (132)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.7%
48.5%
P2
44.9%
45.9%
P3
40.0%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%