Evgeni Malkin vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 31-25 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
31
(56 meetings)
25
31
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
10
6
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
10
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
15
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
44.8% (8,775)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
50.6% (844)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
37.8% (880)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Malkin
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.9%
45.1%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
45.2%
45.2%
OT
49.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | OT | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |