Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 47-35 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 76.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 76.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Malkin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
47
(82 meetings)
35
47
Malkin
Monahan
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
16
17
Malkin
Monahan
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
12
9
Malkin
Monahan
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
7
21
Malkin
Monahan
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
51.1% (11,407)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
53.6% (2,582)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
45.9% (772)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Malkin
Monahan
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Malkin
Monahan
P1
45.9%
51.0%
P2
46.2%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
51.0%
OT
49.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:21 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 14:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |