Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs McBain 50.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 64.5%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 61.1%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 59.9%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Svechkov
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Svechkov
McBain
Last 8: Svechkov 3-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Svechkov
McBain
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
3
Svechkov
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
52.5% (569)
-10.8%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.1% (19)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
36.2% (47)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Svechkov has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Svechkov
McBain
Home
39.7% (247)
52.4% (309)
Away
44.0% (234)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Svechkov
McBain
P1
36.1%
54.0%
P2
44.5%
52.7%
P3
44.1%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jack McBain |