Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs McBain 46.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Svechkov 70.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 61.4%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 53.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Svechkov
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Svechkov
McBain
Last 8: Svechkov 3-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
3
Svechkov
McBain
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
4
1
Svechkov
McBain
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
0
4
Svechkov
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
48.1% (2,322)
-8.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
44.6% (56)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
35.6% (309)
-2.3%
On even strength, McBain has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Svechkov
McBain
Home
38.6% (428)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
41.0% (388)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Svechkov
McBain
P1
35.7%
47.1%
P2
44.5%
47.4%
P3
39.1%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Jack McBain |