Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 39.8% vs Donato 45.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 52.5%
Defensive zone
Donato 56.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 53.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Svechkov
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Svechkov
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Svechkov
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (318)
43.5% (400)
-6.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
48.7% (119)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Svechkov is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Svechkov shoots left. Donato is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Donato
Home
37.0% (181)
50.2% (279)
Away
36.4% (154)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Svechkov
Donato
P1
35.1%
44.6%
P2
44.4%
46.6%
P3
30.8%
42.0%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
35.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
52.0%▲
46.0%
36.7%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |