Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Donato 44.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 56.0%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 57.0%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 50.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Svechkov
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Svechkov
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Svechkov
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
44.0% (1,218)
-4.3%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
46.0% (248)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
41.7% (12)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Donato
Home
38.6% (428)
47.2% (743)
Away
41.0% (388)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Svechkov
Donato
P1
35.7%
43.8%
P2
44.5%
44.9%
P3
39.1%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |