Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 41.6% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 42.0% vs Donato 45.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 55.7%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 53.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.0%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Svechkov
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Svechkov
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
2
1
Svechkov
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Svechkov
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (666)
44.4% (1,096)
-3.4%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
46.3% (240)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
36.4% (11)
-11.4%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Svechkov is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Svechkov shoots left. Donato is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Donato
Home
39.7% (358)
47.7% (708)
Away
42.0% (333)
41.3% (639)
By Period
Svechkov
Donato
P1
36.0%
43.5%
P2
46.6%
45.4%
P3
40.6%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
52.0%▲
46.0%
40.8%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |