Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 40.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 40.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 65.0%
Defensive zone
Svechkov 61.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 64.8%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Svechkov
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Svechkov
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Svechkov
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Svechkov
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (790)
50.6% (2,876)
-10.9%
Power Play
41.2% (17)
62.6% (179)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
37.4% (254)
-4.1%
On power play, Steel has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Svechkov is 40.4% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Svechkov shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Steel
Home
38.6% (428)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
41.0% (388)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Svechkov
Steel
P1
35.7%
51.9%
P2
44.5%
49.5%
P3
39.1%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
39.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
39.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |