Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Chytil wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chytil 40.3% vs Barzal 42.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 51.3%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 62.1%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Chytil
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Chytil
Barzal
Last 5: Chytil 5-0 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
0
Chytil
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
0
Chytil
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
2
0
Chytil
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chytil
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (470)
40.7% (514)
-1.8%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
58.3% (24)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
50.0% (10)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Chytil is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Chytil shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Chytil
Barzal
Home
40.1% (272)
43.0% (279)
Away
36.6% (243)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Chytil
Barzal
P1
39.6%
41.2%
P2
34.5%
46.4%
P3
41.4%
37.1%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
38.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 04:30 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |