Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.7%
Defensive zone
Nazar 77.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 71.5%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Nazar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Draisaitl
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Nazar
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
55.9% (835)
-8.7%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
61.8% (228)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
50.0% (40)
-19.8%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Nazar
Draisaitl
Home
45.0% (329)
55.1% (508)
Away
48.5% (431)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Nazar
Draisaitl
P1
47.8%
55.8%
P2
43.4%
55.7%
P3
48.4%
59.0%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |