Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 81.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 83.5%
Neutral zone
Nazar 80.6%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Nazar
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nazar
Draisaitl
Last 9: Nazar 2-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
4
Nazar
Draisaitl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Nazar
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
52.9% (10,240)
-6.6%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
55.7% (2,827)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
51.2% (977)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Nazar
Draisaitl
Home
44.2% (536)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
47.4% (627)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Nazar
Draisaitl
P1
47.7%
52.7%
P2
42.2%
53.6%
P3
47.1%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
57.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |