Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Granlund 49.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 59.1%
Neutral zone
Nazar 60.4%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Nazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Granlund
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Nazar
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nazar
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
49.7% (493)
-2.5%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
58.6% (111)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
31.1% (61)
-0.9%
On power play, Granlund has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Nazar
Granlund
Home
45.0% (329)
54.7% (276)
Away
48.5% (431)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Nazar
Granlund
P1
47.8%
52.2%
P2
43.4%
49.3%
P3
48.4%
47.4%
OT
75.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |