Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Granlund 48.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 66.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nazar 68.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Nazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nazar
Granlund
Last 5: Nazar 1-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Nazar
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Nazar
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
48.6% (6,765)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
53.0% (760)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
43.6% (635)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,967).
Home / Away
Nazar
Granlund
Home
44.2% (536)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
47.4% (627)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Nazar
Granlund
P1
47.7%
48.8%
P2
42.2%
48.7%
P3
47.1%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
43.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |