Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Roy 48.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Nazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nazar
Roy
Last 7: Nazar 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nazar
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
48.7% (3,719)
-2.4%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
49.5% (283)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
45.5% (477)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Nazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nazar shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Nazar
Roy
Home
44.2% (536)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.4% (627)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Nazar
Roy
P1
47.7%
50.8%
P2
42.2%
46.3%
P3
47.1%
48.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |