Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Danault 54.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 69.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 62.4%
Neutral zone
Nazar 54.7%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Nazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Nazar
Danault
Last 8: Nazar 3-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Nazar
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Nazar
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
56.2% (745)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
45.1% (51)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
51.6% (124)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Nazar
Danault
Home
45.0% (329)
56.7% (402)
Away
48.5% (431)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Nazar
Danault
P1
47.8%
55.5%
P2
43.4%
54.2%
P3
48.4%
55.2%
OT
75.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |