Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 62.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 65.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Nazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Nazar
Danault
Last 10: Nazar 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
3
1
Nazar
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
3
Nazar
Danault
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Nazar
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
53.6% (9,481)
-7.3%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
61.3% (758)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
47.4% (1,710)
-11.8%
On power play, Danault has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,047).
Home / Away
Nazar
Danault
Home
44.2% (536)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
47.4% (627)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Nazar
Danault
P1
47.7%
53.7%
P2
42.2%
53.4%
P3
47.1%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |