Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Thomas 51.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 65.6%
Defensive zone
Nazar 67.3%
Neutral zone
Nazar 67.2%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Nazar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Nazar
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Nazar
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Nazar
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
50.3% (652)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
61.5% (104)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
54.2% (120)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nazar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Nazar shoots right. Thomas is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Nazar
Thomas
Home
45.0% (329)
52.0% (400)
Away
48.5% (431)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Nazar
Thomas
P1
47.8%
49.6%
P2
43.4%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
51.0%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |