Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Thomas 51.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 59.7%
Defensive zone
Nazar 60.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 60.3%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Nazar
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Nazar
Thomas
Last 10: Nazar 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nazar
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Nazar
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
51.1% (5,387)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
55.8% (927)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
50.2% (697)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Nazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nazar shoots right. Thomas is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,044).
Home / Away
Nazar
Thomas
Home
44.2% (536)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
47.4% (627)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Nazar
Thomas
P1
47.7%
50.7%
P2
42.2%
53.0%
P3
47.1%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
59.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |