Scouting Report
Frank Nazar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Nazar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Hartman 45.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 57.0%
Defensive zone
Nazar 53.6%
Neutral zone
Nazar 55.7%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Nazar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Nazar
Hartman
Last 10: Nazar 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
6
Nazar
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
1
Nazar
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
3
Nazar
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
45.1% (874)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
47.4% (95)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
37.5% (16)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Nazar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Nazar shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Nazar
Hartman
Home
45.0% (329)
45.0% (515)
Away
48.5% (431)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Nazar
Hartman
P1
47.8%
47.3%
P2
43.4%
40.1%
P3
48.4%
48.3%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |