Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.3%). Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Hartman 45.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nazar 50.7%
Neutral zone
Nazar 53.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Nazar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Nazar
Hartman
Last 10: Nazar 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
6
Nazar
Hartman
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
1
Nazar
Hartman
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
3
Nazar
Hartman
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
45.2% (4,279)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
47.3% (446)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
42.4% (262)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Nazar is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nazar shoots right. Hartman is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,391).
Home / Away
Nazar
Hartman
Home
44.2% (536)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
47.4% (627)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Nazar
Hartman
P1
47.7%
46.1%
P2
42.2%
42.9%
P3
47.1%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
46.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |