Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 47.7%). Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Poehling 48.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 77.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 79.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Nazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Nazar
Poehling
Last 9: Nazar 6-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
0
Nazar
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
Nazar
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
50.4% (680)
-3.2%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
58.3% (12)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
38.8% (219)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Poehling is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Nazar
Poehling
Home
45.0% (329)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.5% (431)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Nazar
Poehling
P1
47.8%
53.3%
P2
43.4%
40.3%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |