Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nazar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Poehling 48.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Nazar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nazar 61.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 77.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 62.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Nazar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nazar
Poehling
Last 10: Nazar 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
4
0
Nazar
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Nazar
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
49.6% (2,780)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
51.6% (93)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
41.7% (635)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Nazar
Poehling
Home
44.2% (536)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
47.4% (627)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Nazar
Poehling
P1
47.7%
50.8%
P2
42.2%
47.1%
P3
47.1%
47.2%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |