Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Nazar wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 47.3% vs Couturier 53.6% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 80.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.5%
Neutral zone
Nazar 67.1%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Nazar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nazar
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Nazar
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (574)
53.9% (792)
-6.7%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
62.9% (70)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
30.2% (43)
51.3% (234)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Nazar shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Nazar
Couturier
Home
45.0% (329)
51.4% (541)
Away
48.5% (431)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Nazar
Couturier
P1
47.8%
56.0%
P2
43.4%
52.6%
P3
48.4%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |