Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nazar wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nazar 46.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 64.4%
Defensive zone
Nazar 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 60.4%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Nazar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Nazar
Couturier
Last 9: Nazar 4-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Nazar
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
1
0
Nazar
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
2
1
Nazar
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nazar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (907)
52.5% (11,097)
-6.2%
Power Play
48.1% (183)
59.7% (1,280)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (73)
48.5% (1,823)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Nazar is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Nazar shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,266).
Home / Away
Nazar
Couturier
Home
44.2% (536)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
47.4% (627)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Nazar
Couturier
P1
47.7%
52.6%
P2
42.2%
52.6%
P3
47.1%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
45.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |