Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Minten wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 88.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 64.2%
Neutral zone
Minten 71.3%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Minten
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Minten
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
44.9% (414)
+4.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
31.8% (22)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
38.0% (129)
-2.4%
On power play, Minten has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
52.4% (349)
42.6% (277)
Away
45.3% (397)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
45.4%
44.1%
P2
47.1%
44.7%
P3
52.3%
39.5%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |