Fraser Minten vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.5%). Look for Minten on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Minten wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Minten leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Minten 69.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 57.6%
Neutral zone
Minten 56.7%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Minten
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Minten
Gaudreau
Last 10: Minten 8-2 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
48.6% (3,770)
+0.3%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
53.9% (219)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
46.7% (793)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Minten shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Home / Away
Minten
Gaudreau
Home
51.9% (476)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
44.4% (475)
47.8% (2,345)
By Period
Minten
Gaudreau
P1
44.4%
49.7%
P2
46.8%
47.3%
P3
52.3%
49.1%
OT
83.3%
35.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |