Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs McBain 50.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 57.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 66.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Minten
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Minten
McBain
Last 6: Minten 5-1 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
3
1
Minten
McBain
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
52.5% (569)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
42.1% (19)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
36.2% (47)
-0.6%
On power play, Minten has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Minten
McBain
Home
52.4% (349)
52.4% (309)
Away
45.3% (397)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Minten
McBain
P1
45.4%
54.0%
P2
47.1%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
46.5%
OT
83.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |