Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 49.6% vs McBain 45.9% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
McBain 54.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 56.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Minten
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (35)
46.3% (568)
+2.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
37.5% (8)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
37.8% (74)
+62.2%
On penalty kill, Minten has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Minten is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Minten shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Minten
McBain
Home
53.8% (26)
50.6% (330)
Away
36.4% (11)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Minten
McBain
P1
53.3%
45.4%
P2
57.1%
44.5%
P3
40.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
14.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.2%