Fraser Minten vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Fraser Minten holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 48.8% vs Dowling 49.5% (+15.4%)
Offensive zone Minten 56.7%
Defensive zone Minten 60.1%
Neutral zone Minten 57.9%
Result Fraser Minten favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Minten Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
33.3% (3)
+16.3%
On even strength, Minten has a +16.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Minten
Dowling
Home
52.4% (349)
100.0% (1)
Away
45.3% (397)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Minten
Dowling
P1
45.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%
50.0%
48.7%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%